Thursday, June 14, 2012

And the finale of season Two of Egyptian revolution is here

Just like any revolution in the world , the Egyptian revolution passes through stages or like TV shows' seasons and we finished its first season on February 11,2011 and we are starting to have a special long 4 episodes from the finale of season 2 of Egyptian revolution this weekend.

The finale started yesterday with the decree issued by the minister of justice that gives the military police and the military intelligence the right to arrest non military citizens till we have a new constitution. It is an unprecedented decree that was never issued even in the time of Nasser himself !! This decree is already not only against the laws , constitutional declaration and the powers of the minister of justice but also the international human rights laws. Already some activists said that the crimes that military will arrest the civilians for include : striking , cutting roads ,thuggery , protesting against ruler and spreading lies in the media !!

Then the master scene of the finale after few hours at the supreme constitutional court : The fate of both parliament and the presidential elections. The supreme constitutional court will see if the parliamentary elections were valid or invalid thus the current people's assembly can be disbanded. The court will Also revise the constitutionality of disenfranchisement law and this revision may lead to the exclusion of Shafik from the presidential race. Already there are six scenarios for the verdicts after few hours :

  1. The court may adjourn the announcement of the verdicts
  2. The court may disband the parliament and disqualify Shafik thus we will have new presidential and parliamentary elections again.
  3. The court may disband the parliament and let Shafik continue in the race.
  4. The court may leave the parliament as it is and disqualify Shafik from the race
  5. The court may adjourn the sentence in the parliament case and let Shafik continue in the race.
  6. The court may leave the parliament as it is and disqualify Shafik from the race.
There are legal technical details again and there are several scenarios related to each prediction. Now the most common scenarios you will hear from lawmakers , constitutional law experts as well sources near to the court as well to SCAF speak about scenario no.1,2,3 and 5.

Interestingly and ironically enough the head of the supreme constitutional court is none other than Farouk Sultan , the head of the Presidential elections committee that said Shafik can run for presidency and referred the disenfranchisement law to the court !!

Another thing all observers know that the court's verdicts will be political ones and it is only enough that court issue them but SCAF to implement them.

If you connect the dots with the : The spy ad , the anti-Ikhwan campaign and the rise of NDP once again , you will know that the scene is being prepared for the revenge of Mubarak's scene.It is like the Empire strikes back in the Star wars saga.

This could be the last big dance of the Mubarak regime that returned back and proud , in fact it is the big last dance of an old corrupted rotten regime. That scene was too visualized in my mind when I saw the attendance of Shafik's last conference in Grand Hyatt that was organized by Egyptian Canadian businessmen association. Mona Gamal Abdel Nasser was there , Jihan El Sadat was there, members of the NDP out and proud were there and businessmen fear social Justice and true state of the law were there. The scene was in that meeting was summarized in the quote of former footballer Mostafa Younes " I am proud of being regime remnant because they are the only people who love the country !!!"

We will see what happen insha Allah after few hours ,hopefully it will be the best the option for Egypt by God's well.

7 comments:

  1. DEBKAfile is currently reporting on a secret American poll according to which Morsi is beating Shafiq by 70%. "The Obama administration is girding up for the shock of Egypt becoming the first Arab country, and the most populous, to be ruled by the Muslim Brotherhood."

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  2. What's the difference between scenario 4 and 6?

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  3. My guess is that They will confirm Shafik's candidacy and...will dismiss parliament.

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  4. My guess is that They will confirm Shafik's candidacy and...will dismiss parliament.

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  5. Dear Zenobia,

    There are no words that any honorable Egyptian can say but: "Hasbia Allah in all those who have been sucking out the life and blood of this country and its people and who want to continue forever, May Allah curse them in life and death".

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  6. How can a constitutional court rule on constitutional matters if there is no constitution to work from?

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  7. How can a constitutional court rule on constitutional matters if there is no constitution to work from?

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